log-odds modelは以下の英文で出てきました
However sure they say they are, they are correct only about 50 percent of the time, except for assessments of 1.00 when they are right 65 to 70 per cent of the time. Individual subject analyses, using the log-odds model described by Lichtenstein, Fischhoff and Phillips (this volume), are consistent with these group curves, although individual calibration curves show considerable differences from one person to the next.
私の希望している回答ではありませんでした。